Let’s begin by getting something out of the way.

Weather modification is not a conspiracy theory.

It is happening right now.

On August 23, a California weather-technology company called Rainmaker sent drones into clouds over Alaska’s Kenai Peninsula. The company says its aircraft conducted seven coordinated cloud-seeding missions, releasing silver iodide into clouds already containing moisture.

Rainmaker estimates that the operation generated between 45 and 65 acre-feet of additional precipitation, with an average estimate of 57.6 acre-feet.

That’s roughly 19 million gallons of water.

In about three hours.

The figure is Rainmaker’s estimate rather than an independently verified measurement, and the company acknowledges uncertainties in calculating exactly how much precipitation ultimately reached the ground. But the experiment illustrates something important.

Human beings are becoming increasingly capable of deliberately influencing weather.

And the technology is getting better.

This Isn’t The Cloud Seeding Of The Past

Cloud seeding has existed for roughly 80 years. The basic concept isn’t particularly mysterious.

Certain clouds contain supercooled water droplets that remain liquid below freezing. Introducing particles such as silver iodide can encourage ice crystals to form. Those crystals can grow until they eventually fall as snow or rain.

Cloud seeding cannot create a storm out of a clear blue sky. It requires the right atmospheric conditions, and its effectiveness remains difficult to quantify.

A 2024 Government Accountability Office review found estimates of additional precipitation from cloud seeding ranging from zero to 20 percent.

What is changing is everything surrounding the process.

Instead of simply sending airplanes into promising clouds, companies can increasingly combine drones, sophisticated radar, atmospheric sensors, satellite information and computer modeling to identify where and when seeding may have the greatest effect.

Rainmaker’s system includes autonomous drones capable of flying through severe icing conditions and software that forecasts seeding opportunities, monitors missions and estimates precipitation.

The old experiment is becoming a technology platform.

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