The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is monitoring three areas of storm development, all of which have a low possibility of forming at the same time within the next two days.
Over the past week, NHC meteorologists have been monitoring a system in the Caribbean Sea that has growing potential to strengthen into Tropical Storm Patty. The storm’s path, should it form, is still unclear, though there’s a chance that it could take aim at Florida, which recently battled two, back-to-back major hurricanes, Hurricane Helene in late September and Hurricane Milton in early October.
As of Friday morning, the NHC is monitoring two new systems—one in the northeastern Caribbean and one in the north Atlantic.
Of the three systems, the southwestern Caribbean one has the highest chance of development, with a 30 percent chance of strengthening within the next two days and a 70 percent chance in the next seven days. The other two systems each have a 10 percent chance of strengthening.
“We continue to monitor multiple areas for tropical development,” the NHC posted on X, (formerly Twitter) on Friday morning. “In particular an area in the SW Caribbean has a high (70%) chance of development, a broad area of low pressure is expected to develop and a tropical depression is likely to form late this weekend or early next week.”
System in the Southwestern Caribbean
AccuWeather forecasters have shifted the expected dates for development of this system, given its slow progress. It was originally expected to form in late October, and meteorologists now anticipate it could form Friday or Saturday.
“A broad area of low pressure is likely to develop over the southwestern Caribbean Sea during the next day or so,” the most recent NHC forecast said. “Gradual development is possible thereafter, and a tropical depression is likely to form late this weekend or early next week while the system drifts generally northward or northwestward over the central or western Caribbean Sea. Regardless of development, locally heavy rains are possible over portions of the adjacent land areas of the western Caribbean,” the forecast said.





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